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Prediction of Length-of-day Using Gaussian Process Regression
Lei, Yu1,2; Guo, Min3; Cai, Hongbing1; Hu, Dandan3; Zhao, Danning1,2
2015-05-01
发表期刊JOURNAL OF NAVIGATION
卷号68期号:3页码:563-575
摘要The predictions of Length-Of-Day (LOD) are studied by means of Gaussian Process Regression (GPR). The EOP C04 time-series with daily values from the International Earth Rotation and Reference Systems Service (IERS) serve as the data basis. Firstly, well known effects that can be described by functional models, for example effects of the solid Earth and ocean tides or seasonal atmospheric variations, are removed a priori from the C04 time-series. Only the differences between the modelled and actual LOD, i.e. the irregular and quasi-periodic variations, are employed for training and prediction. Different input patterns are discussed and compared so as to optimise the GPR model. The optimal patterns have been found in terms of the prediction accuracy and efficiency, which conduct the multi-step ahead predictions utilising the formerly predicted values as inputs. Finally, the results of the predictions are analysed and compared with those obtained by other prediction methods. It is shown that the accuracy of the predictions are comparable with that of other prediction methods. The developed method is easy to use.
文章类型Article
关键词Length-of-day Lod) Prediction Gaussian Process Regression (Gpr)
WOS标题词Science & Technology ; Technology ; Physical Sciences
DOI10.1017/S0373463314000927
收录类别SCI
关键词[WOS]LEAST-SQUARES ; EARTH ; PARAMETERS
语种英语
WOS研究方向Engineering ; Oceanography
WOS类目Engineering, Marine ; Oceanography
WOS记录号WOS:000352011100010
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被引频次:6[WOS]   [WOS记录]     [WOS相关记录]
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://ir.opt.ac.cn/handle/181661/24125
专题研究生部
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Natl Time Serv Ctr, Beijing 100864, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Jinan, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Xian Inst Opt & Precis Mech, Beijing 100864, Peoples R China
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Lei, Yu,Guo, Min,Cai, Hongbing,et al. Prediction of Length-of-day Using Gaussian Process Regression[J]. JOURNAL OF NAVIGATION,2015,68(3):563-575.
APA Lei, Yu,Guo, Min,Cai, Hongbing,Hu, Dandan,&Zhao, Danning.(2015).Prediction of Length-of-day Using Gaussian Process Regression.JOURNAL OF NAVIGATION,68(3),563-575.
MLA Lei, Yu,et al."Prediction of Length-of-day Using Gaussian Process Regression".JOURNAL OF NAVIGATION 68.3(2015):563-575.
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